Wei Jigang: a new position of national strategy and logistics
- 2018-05-28 13:54
- Logistics Internet e-commerce ecosystem sharing intelligence
Director of Research Department of the Ministry of industry and economics, State Council Development Research Center, and Wei Jigang, vice president of China logistics society.
Speech at the 2018 (eleventh) logistics industry meeting
(Tuyun, Guizhou, April 26, 2018)
1, multiple trends to shape China's national strategy
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From the domestic perspective, China has entered a new era of development, and the main contradiction has changed. From the international view, the global economic, social, political and military have made a profound adjustment, and the relations between China and the world have also undergone significant changes, especially a new round of scientific and technological revolution and industrial change, which have brought great opportunities and challenges for the development of our industry. Against this background, the state has put forward a new development strategy. In terms of economy, the core of realizing industrial power is to achieve high quality development. How does it come true? In the report of the party and the state, many plans and paths have been put forward, such as a series of methods, such as the structural reform of the supply side, the building of an innovative country, the implementation of the strategy of rural revitalization, the implementation of the regional coordinated development strategy, the improvement of the market economy system, and the formation of a comprehensive open pattern.
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First, the world is flat. Global economic growth and trade expansion require global connectivity and global mobility, including transportation, communications, logistics, Internet, e-commerce, and institutional, cultural and financial connections. Global connections promote global mobility, including stream of people, logistics, business flows and capital flows. In the past, the United States has been promoting global mobility. Now China and the United States have become the two major hubs. In the past, multinational enterprises could have global mobility, and small and micro enterprises can also participate in them.
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Second, the world is fast. Surviving species are not the strongest, nor the brightest, but those who react quickly to change.
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Third, the world is new. We have to make new things out of the old and not be backward. We must constantly change and constantly seek new ways to lead development.
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Fourth, the world is green. We need green hills, green water, fresh air, food and beautiful environment, all of which are the expression of "the world is green."
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Fifth, the world is simple. Behavior tells us that people do not like complicated relationships, so whether the government decentralization or business is simple to Dao Da, it makes the world easier. If you can make the world easier, the world will make you more simple.
(according to shorthand arrangement, without my own review, please indicate the author and source, China logistics society, China Federation of logistics and purchasing)
Sixth, the new economic revolution and the new industry change have taken place. The new economic revolution is closely related to production, circulation, trade and finance. It will bring about profound changes in the ways of circulation, logistics, financial and transaction. It will also trigger more with new materials, biology and health. The new business model will be very prominent. This will continue to break through for many years, and will bring profound changes to the whole economic structure and social pattern, including the geopolitics of the world. In this round of revolution, the digital revolution is a very important component. The core characteristics of the digital revolution are user centered. Users are not only the upper and lower users, but also the employees and stakeholders of the enterprises, and the two is interconnection. Resources and elements must be interconnected in all aspects to form a large-scale collaborative technology. This technology is all-around, including horizontal, vertical, new elements and data. The digital infrastructure will be a new element. With the digital revolution, the service industry will become the leading industry of the national economy.
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2. The development of China's industry
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Against this background, China's entire industry has also undergone great changes. China's manufacturing industry overtook the United States in 2010 and became the world's largest manufacturing country. China's transportation industry surpassed the United States in 2013 in terms of freight volume and freight turnover. China's electricity supplier industry has also become the number one in the world. China has achieved a number of catch-up in the past 13 years, and the next step is to catch up two times and catch up from quantity to catch up with quality.
There are prominent problems in China's domestic industry: first, the quality is not high; two, the structure is unreasonable. At present, the most prominent problem in China's economy is structural problems, such as the structure of the 123 industry, the industrial structure of the light and heavy industries, the proportion of high-tech industry, and the three is the weak innovation ability. Although the slogan of innovation driven is put forward, so far, the national economy has not developed to the stage of innovation driven, but in the stage of mixed drive development; in addition, there are still problems such as poor development environment and poor inclusiveness.
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The international challenges of China's industries are trade friction, global climate change, international market competition, international strategic resource contention, regional conflicts and so on. Now many countries regard China as a threat to China in the aspects of anti trade, countervailing, anti dumping and so on. Our country is now the country that has suffered the most trade frictions in the world.
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In the Trump 301 report released in March this year, it aims at China's most advanced industries (biology, information, new energy technology), policies and detailed analysis of foreign enterprises entering the Chinese market. Through these, China needs to adjust the relevant policies.
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3. China's economy is in the key period of structural transformation
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At present, China is in the process of the transformation of new and old kinetic energy, and it needs to form a brand new economy through bringing new resources into old ones. This involves changes in the economic structure, for example, we need to carry out structural optimization for transformation and upgrading of traditional industries. We need to cultivate new economy, especially the development of digital economy, bio economy, new materials, new energy, high-end equipment, energy saving and environmental protection. At the same time, we should pay attention to the complexity of China's economy, the higher the economic complexity, the stronger the resilience and risk resistance of the economy.
We will promote the development of China's economic mode with high quality. High quality agricultural development is green, safe, high quality, high quality manufacturing industry development is quality, variety, brand, high quality service industry development is perfect system, structure optimization, powerful function, reasonable price, good experience, efficient resource allocation way is to realize the organic combination of the government and the market. The market in China is not perfect. The market failure should be made up by the power of the government to form competitive advantages and national advantages, especially in the process of optimizing the structure to promote the competitiveness of the related industries. The development of high quality internationalization is to reduce trade friction, win win cooperation, and realize the benign development of economy, politics, society, military, culture and ecology.
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According to the report released by OECT, China's GDP will account for 28% of the world's total, 18% of the United States and 11% of India by 2030. By 2060, China will account for 28% of GDP, 16% of the United States and 18% of India. The demand of the middle class is very high. Then, after 90 and 00, the whole economic development will have a huge impact. The past is the world of the United States and the future is China's world, so China's import logistics and export logistics will have enormous room for development. By 2020, when we build a moderately prosperous society in an all-round way, the per capita GDP will exceed 12000 yuan. By 2035, we will form a modern country and become a modern powerful country by 2050. ?From 2035-2050 years, only 15 years from now, we should become a modern power from the initial modernized country. In the new era, the state is very urgent for our strategic mission.
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China's industrial and long-term development strategic objectives. China's industrial goals can be summed up in five words: strong, intelligent, green, United and special. "Strong" has the right to speak in key components, core components and global governance. Wisdom refers to the wisdom of enterprises, industry and technology. "Green" and "Lian" refer to interoperability and intelligence synergy. "Special" refers to a subdivision of the market. In industry, to become an industrial power, the most important thing is to change the growth pattern in 2020. By 2025, some industries were leading globally. By 2030, it will become a world power in the industry. Strategic emerging industries, this is an important area of future development. The state promotes seven strategic emerging industries, striving to increase the value added to 15% in 2020, and will reach the world's advanced level in 2030. In terms of service industry, the service industry should become a basic, strategic and leading industry, and will become a service power by 2030. In agriculture, the rate of land output is relatively high, but our per capita output rate is low. In the future, we should become a powerful agricultural power, especially in the aspects of safety, quality and green.
The future innovation is critical in ten areas, including profit model, network, structure, process, configuration innovation, service, channel, brand, customer participation and experience innovation. This is a creative chain, innovation network, through the whole process.
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For manufacturing industry, China put forward "made in China 2025", which contains three strategic objectives, but there is no specific path in the document. I think the path of "made in China 2025" is actually upgrading from quality to imitation, to creating and leading.
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4, the new direction of the logistics industry in the new era
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The logistics industry should also adjust its direction. I give some new directions: first, the logistics industry is a basic and pilot industry, and the future is to become a strategic and leading industry. Two, the logistics industry is based on speed development in the past and mainly to the development of quality and benefit. Three is the logistics industry for the whole society and customers to shape the value, the formation of high quality law change. Four, we should reduce costs and transform logistics functions to value creation and competitive advantages. The five is the transformation from industry and region to industrial and regional economic integration. We have to make these basic adjustments.
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Industry 1 is water transport, railways, pipelines, highways, aviation, postal services and warehouses. Industry 2 is multimodal transport, third party logistics, integrated logistics, logistics park, three-dimensional warehouse, global logistics. Industry 3 is Internet logistics, e-commerce logistics, aviation logistics and high-speed rail express. Industry 4 is intelligent supply chain, intelligent logistics, shared logistics, lean logistics, green logistics, low carbon logistics. Industry 5 is intelligent national logistics system and intelligent international supply chain system.
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In the future, the revolution of China's logistics industry is about to take place. It shows several trends: first, the revolution of the system should be downwards, westward and outward. Two, the logistics industry is being transformed in a comprehensive way, which involves mobility, digitalization and intellectualization. The three is a great improvement in quality. The four is the supply chain change: platform sharing, ecosphere, integration, supply chain, and the future will be centralized and green.
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Facing the future, logistics enterprises should have more connections, including information, services and numbers. Because consumption has more expectations, so there are more value-added, our services can not be immutable, but like water to change the situation.
The goal of a powerful logistics country is to be world class, with Chinese characteristics and people's satisfaction. In the future, we must form a logistics powerful country with Chinese characteristics to lead the world development. The specific features are divided into several aspects: rational layout, optimization of structure, smooth connection, safe and reliable, intelligent and efficient, green low carbon, strong guarantee, and support for the whole economic development.
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After 2050, the logistics industry in China was summed up as "no". We are omnipotent, omnipotent and omnipotent. In the future, you will not feel the existence of China's logistics industry. It will become an integral part of our logistics industry just like air and water. How do you achieve this goal? I think it is a word "love". Einstein wrote a letter to his daughter. He said he found the ultimate foundation of human civilization, that is, "love". When our government loves the people wholeheartedly, when our enterprises love their customers wholeheartedly, and when our employees love their work wholeheartedly, the goal will be achieved. We want to meet the advent of this global connection, the connection from microcosmic to terminal, from machine to man to thing, from man to enterprise to industry to region to country. The key to success in the twenty-first Century is to create scarcity and irreplaceable. If your scarcity is higher and irreplaceable, your future will be more brilliant and successful.
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Finally, share what is called logistics. Logistics is the two word "thing + flow", and "thing" is moral integrity, and "flow" is natural. Logistics should be divided into several aspects: entity combination, point line combination and virtual reality combination. "Tao" is the first + walk, that is, entity combination, point line combination, virtual reality combination. "Virtue" is timely, suitable, suitable, suitable and suitable. From the flow of things, we must obey the word "Hui de". The last word of Lao Tzu's "Tao Te Jing" is "the way of the sky, the benefit and no harm", that is, the government should promote the creation and innovation of industry, industry, enterprise and people, but not the energy that shackles us. Sun Zhongshan also said that the vitality of the world is compatible with human needs.
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In the end, I understand that we have to do both in a country, an industry, an enterprise and an individual, both in a country, an industry, an enterprise, and a person. only in this way can we have our future.
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