2016 global container port throughput growth is expected to remain above 3%

March 29, Shanghai International Shipping Center released "Global Port Development Report (2015)." The report predicts that in 2016 the growth rate of the world's major ports will encounter the turning point, faced with the challenge of zero growth, however, benefit from lower international oil prices and other factors, in 2016 the global port container throughput growth is expected to remain above 3%, to achieve steady growth.

It reports that 2016 will be an important window of the global port industry growth inflection point appearing, since the financial crisis in 2008, world trade and the global port industry growth into about 5% of the "slow growth" channel, rely mainly on the stimulate national monetary and fiscal policy, making commodities and container trade maintained a moderate growth. However, as an international maritime trade important support emerging market countries with the slowdown in economic growth lead to slowdown in demand, coupled with political uncertainty in the Middle East and other regions enhanced, as well as international trade agreements fail to reach a consensus on cooperation in the global arena, will be greatly reduced the growth of the international shipping market expectations. 2016 world's major ports will encounter growth inflection point, facing zero growth challenges.　　

The report also noted that the 2016 global container volume continues to expand, lack of bulk growth potential. Despite the 2015 global container throughput growth remains the expansion, but the growth rate has dropped to 1% line, compared with 2014, significantly weakened; and in the overall stabilization of the global trade situation in the background, international multi / bilateral cooperation increasingly close coupled lower international oil prices will further reduce shipping costs, directly benefit the promotion of international trade in goods, and thus promote the development of the container trade, the 2016 global container port throughput growth is expected to remain above 3%, to achieve steady growth. In addition, emerging market countries with economies in transition facing deep-seated pressure, unsustainable economic investment, and thus ore, coal and other bulk materials trade growth will further decline is expected in 2016 global dry bulk port throughput will reach a high level, mainly port or significant decline.